Identification of Wetland Conservation Gaps in Rapidly Urbanizing Areas: A Case Study in Zhengzhou, China

Exploring protected area (PA) siting from a biodiversity perspective is critical in mitigating human impacts on ecosystems. This paper used the MaxEnt model to predict geographic distribution patterns of wetland species Zhengzhou and environmental factors affecting species’ habitat selection. Environmental variables were screened by correlation analysis avoid prediction results due overfitting model. The AUC value training set ROC curve was above 0.8, accuracy high. showed that only nature reserve Zhengzhou, Yellow River Wetland Nature Reserve, currently covers 10.25% total high suitability areas for plants 17.54% waterfowl whole Zhengzhou. potential outside can provide basis site selection conservation planning It found constrained water bodies, bioclimatic variables, land cover, population density.